The Indian Union Cabinet Minister for heavy industries, Mr Praful Patel delivered the most anticipated keynote address at the 2011 Kellogg India Business Conference. Mr. Patel, who was the minister of Civil Aviation until very recently, shared his experiences in building the Indian Aviation industry from a small base to one of the biggest globally. Mr. Patel also shared his views on the increased importance of India in the globalized economy and assured the audience of a robust growth growing forward, especially in the heavy industries segment of the Indian economy. He discussed some of the challenges faced by India today yet emphasized his deep faith in the democratic process in India in dealing with them. Mr Patel then discussed the modernization and private participation strategies that the public sector enterprises would pursue in the near future, that would propel India into a new growth trajectory. Here are the excerpts from his note at the conference:
On Globalization and US’s recent policy on Out-shoring:
“…If the Indian industries have grown, and have had a foreign investment of 50 B dollars in the past 5 years, more than 25 B dollars of that investment has gone to the United States! And in the next 10 years, if 100 Billion dollars is invested in India, more than 20 Billion dollars would go back to USA in one form or the other. USA is the one who produce the planes, the air-traffic control systems, and other types of technologies that are driving Indian businesses. So in the process, US is also creating jobs back home!”
“And the other side of the phenomenon is that until and unless, American industries and businesses become competitive, how will they be able to compete with the rest of the world anyway? It’s not about India taking away jobs, but also about the US firms to be able to compete in a global arena! It is America who has always been the proponent of Globalization. It is important that we look at the global context and that is exactly what America has shown and taught the world. And therefore it is no time for America to go back on what it has preached the world.”
“We (India) opened our economy and we believe that it has been a win-win for us and the world as well. We cannot now say that we want to go back to the older world. The world has now changed and has become integrated with each other.”
On the position of India in the global economy
“…Despite all the constraints, India today has some things to offer that are unique among all the developing countries of the world. We have a proven legal jurisdiction, an established democratic system and so many other systems in place, including autonomous institutions working in all sectors of the industry. These things cannot be ignored, and are important for any country (to do business with) and that is why India has a great position in the developing world.”
“We do acknowledge that China has a far larger economy, has a better competitive edge than India, but at the end of the day, I would have to say the (international business) confidence in India is much more in the long run. China does offer better economies of scale, but in the long run, when people value and judge where they would be more comfortable in putting their money, India is emerging as the winner. That never used to happen in the past, but it is on account of our opening of the economy. We have definitely had a slow start, but I can tell you with certainty that there will be a lot of opening up of the economy going forward.”
On Privatization and the role of Public Sector on the Indian economy
“…I have now taken over a new responsibility of Public Industries. India’s public sector is huge, and goes to the days of Nehru and Indira Gandhi, after independence. I think that the Indian economy was kick-started, the industrial foundation was laid from the public sector. It may not be the greatest model today, but at that point in time, it surely made a lot of sense.”
“We have companies which produce salt, some that produce ink and even tractors and scooters. I don’t think that these are strategic businesses that the government needs to be involved with in future. So I think that we need to take some tough decisions. E.g. we took decisions to privatize first the Mumbai and Delhi airports and later also the Bangalore and Hyderabad ones. They have created huge results.”
“In the long run we need to change the government’s approach to its own companies. E.g. I have been advocating for a long time that Air India must have some sort of private participation, at some appropriate stage. When there is good private competition, e.g. in the airline industry, one has to see which are our core businesses vs (those that are) not. The ones that are core we should continue to propel them, and those that are non-core, we should move away from them. That would unlock value for the larger good.”
“We should see the trends in the size of Indian economy: India’s population, emerging middle class, the consumerism in India, these are all drivers of huge growth. There is no way that India would not grow at the rate of 8-9% (average) y-o-y in the next 10 year horizon. There may be years in which it grows by more than 10%. E.g. The Indian auto sector has been growing at the mind boggling rate of 37% in the last one year. We used to sell only a 100 thousand automobiles in a year, but this year we would sell 3 Million this year and would go to 10 M in the next 8-10 years.”
“All these sectors including irrigation, power (nuclear etc) roads, airports, faster railway system are generating huge investment opportunities.”